CCMC CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2026-08-14T05:09:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2026-08-14T05:09ZDONKI Link: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/48075/-1
CME Note: CME first seen to the East in STEREO A COR2 beginning at 2026-08-14T05:09Z, as well as by GOES CCOR-1 in later frames. This CME was not visible in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 in real-time due to a data gap which began at 2026-08-14T04:48Z. The source of this event is a filament eruption centered at approx. S10E20 with liftoff beginning at approx. 2026-08-14T04:00Z. This filament is heavily deflected to the West as it erupts as seen in SDO AIA, STEREO A EUVI and GOES SUVI 304. Field line opening, dimming and post eruptive arcades are also visible in SDO AIA 171, 193, STEREO A EUVI 195 and GOES SUVI 284.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2026-08-17T02:46Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2026-08-17T05:20Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 80.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.5 - 6.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: 26.48 hour(s)
Difference: -2.57 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2026-08-16T00:17Z
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